Saturday, July 15, 2006

Striking 'beyond Haifa" may NOT be a bunch of hooey

Culled from various sources ...including Statfor, Globalsecurity, and Spacewar ..

There is mass confusion in the news media about the names and ranges of various missiles in the Iranian, North Korean, and now certainly the Hizbollah arsenal (that is CERTAIN). In fact it looks if there is really one storehouse and technology development line, and all players then modify as they please, and have the ability. There is no doubt after the demostrated capability of Hizbollah to use a guided drone, OR somthing similar to the anti ship guided weapon fired (as being reported bu FOX) by the IRGC, on the ground in Lebanon, to hit a ship at sea that all these must be seriously considered as enemy capabilities.

israel-Fajr-zelzal.jpg
So now to the Fajr-3 and Zelzal 2. In the hands of Nasrallah, MUgniyeh and Fadlallah? You flesh it out

Lebanon, Israel: Potential Attack on Tel Aviv
July 14, 2006 21 18 GMT
Summary

Hezbollah chief Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah said July 14 in a speech broadcast on Hezbollah media outlets that his group will strike "beyond Haifa and what is beyond, beyond Haifa." Hezbollah has the capability to launch an attack on Tel Aviv, Israel, from southern Lebanon.

Analysis

Hezbollah leader Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah declared July 14 that Hezbollah would strike "beyond Haifa and what is beyond, beyond Haifa" in an all-out war against Israel. Nasrallah's speech was broadcast live on Hezbollah media outlets.
Hezbollah already demonstrated its capability to strike Haifa with what were likely Iranian-made Fajr-3 rockets that have a range of 28 miles. "Beyond, beyond" Haifa, however, lies Tel Aviv, Israel's most densely populated and industrialized city. Sources in Lebanon whose reliability is unconfirmed reveal that Tel Aviv may very well become Hezbollah's next big target, and Hezbollah is believed to possess the capabilities to carry out such an attack from southern Lebanon. According to Israeli intelligence, Hezbollah has as many as 30 Zelzal-2 rockets, a 610 mm heavy artillery rocket that can deliver a warhead of more than 1,000 pounds to a range of approximately 130 miles, giving it the ability to hit the northern outskirts of Tel Aviv from the Israeli-Lebanese border. The Zelzal-2 is a solid fueled rocket, which means it can be launched with very little preparation.

Faced with destruction, Hezbollah will use all the long-range missiles it has in its arsenal. The plan to launch a ground invasion into Lebanon was likely hardwired into the Israeli military strategy following the Haifa attack. Israel will precede any major ground offensive with a preemptive strike on Hezbollah's offensive capability -- namely, the rocket sites in the Bekaa Valley in southern Lebanon.

The Zelzal and Fajr -3 .......

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